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Goldman Selling Euro (ZH) PDF Print E-mail
Written by Steve Meyers   
Tuesday, 07 September 2010 20:53

Goldman Flow Now Selling EUR Outright, Advises Leveraged Accounts Are Caught Wrong Way In EUR Collapse

Some very disturbing commentary for the EUR bulls out of Goldman sales desk (these guys are the real deal, not the institutional sell side idiots who can't hit an elephant from 3 feet with a bazooka), which is now outright bearish on the EUR: "We’ve been better EUR sellers to the tune of half a yard, mostly technical accounts. Leveraged accounts are not participating in this move for the most part, and if anything, they have been caught the wrong way around." Which means that should the collapse continue, the margin calls will come in, and the EUR longs will go the other way, putting increasing pressure on the EUR pairs, and likely forcing the SNB to do the inevitable. Look for more EUR pain overnight.

More from Goldman's David Clark:

Yet another reason to have sold EURs today. EURUSD has dropped nearly 2 big figures in the last 24 hours and is closing at the lows. EURCHF makes new all-time lows. EURAUD revisits levels not seen since 1989 – particularly interesting on a day when equities are down 1%. We’ve been better EUR sellers to the tune of half a yard, mostly technical accounts. Leveraged accounts are not participating in this move for the most part, and if anything, they have been caught the wrong way around. READ MORE

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Mars  - For WED SP500 daytrader |2010-09-07 21:26:46
Well, the SP500 came through with a decent decline on TUE, and MON night's signals were validated.
The (-1.15%) loss in the SP500 didn't do much to alleviate the overbought condition, so a bias anticipating further weakness remains.
Prodrome Model signal from FRI is recorded as a "win", and with TUE's consecutive daily signal now pending, hopefully we'll quickly see a lower close.
If you're tracking the SP500's moving averages, you'll note the EMA's are compressed and squeezing closer. We should soon see a downward alignment of the 25, 50, 200SMA, and I can estimate a 200/500SMA bearish cross in early 2011.
anon |2010-09-07 23:59:16
Well I remember the bearish call from Goldmann in June and two weeks later the Euro rallied. Let´s see.
pid  - $NYLOW:$NYHGH |2010-09-08 02:51:59
I was playing around with some charts and came up with this.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NYLOW:$NYHGH&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p24759079364

Noticing the tops and the MACD action of 2008 - we are nowhere near the same extreme readings p.t.

Steve - or others - care to comment?
Mars  - StockCharts |2010-09-08 10:06:52
"..a key aspect of the biggest stock market collapses is that they often start from lower price highs, when optimistic feelings are already on the wane. The current market sentiment is quite like that of May 2008, just before prices fell another 40% in five months."
pid  - re: StockCharts |2010-09-08 10:43:45
Agreed.

My point being that considering the market tanked in Sept 2008 we had two extreme readings of LOWs/HGHs (three digit values) in the time frame between the crash and the top in Oct 2007.

The 2007 top had a corresponding reading of LOWs/HGHs of 19 approx in start of Nov followed with 533 in Jan 2008.

Assuming our top was in Apr 2010 [which I am all in favour of] and the May reading of LOWs/HGHs of 11 one could desire to see an extreme 100++ to anticipate a crash.
Matt  - Europe and the euro up now |2010-09-08 06:48:51
Very quick reversal in the European markets and now we are seeing a rally.
What news came out to make such a fast turn around? Or is it just the normal PPT morning futures buying? Oh one other thing.. HIGH O" SILVER AWAY!! :D

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Last Updated on Wednesday, 08 September 2010 12:46
 

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